Primaries
01/01/08 21:53
Just got back
from New Hampshire, where you can actually tell it's
primary season! It was fun to see all the different
candidate's signs in people's and business's yards
(well, at least it was fun for me). Guess who had
more signs than anyone? Ron Paul. Not so surprising
in such a libertarian state, I guess. I've heard some
talk radio hosts claim that he'll take a surprise
third place in NH. But, his run will probably end
there. Also, we saw a few Paul supporters just
randomly putting signs up on state highways to get
the name out, so I guess signs don't always equal
supporters.
It looks like Mitt has NH all set, which is good news. He's also coming back in Iowa, where Huckabee was leading by over 10% a few weeks ago. Now Huck's only up a few percentage points. Mitt taking 2nd in Iowa wouldn't be all that bad. After all, I read somewhere that most candidates who win both Iowa and New Hampshire have always lost in the general election. That's the case with Kerry and Gore (well, they were losers before they lost the general election anyways). Certainly wouldn't want Mitt following that path.
I will say that Giuliani's campaign has sort of been a mystery lately. He's completely ignoring Iowa and New Hampshire, where's he's sure to lose, and probably lose big. Instead, he's focusing on the bigger delegate-rich states like NY, FL, MI, etc., hoping he can score a ton of delegate votes on "super-duper Tuesday", February 5th. That's kind of scary if it works. Some people are saying that the 23 states that vote on that day will vote based on the earlier Iowa and NH votes, so Giuliani is toast. But others say that these states will ignore the earlier contests and vote on their own beliefs, which tend to be more liberal and would benefit Giuliani. I think it would be a shame to see him lose big in all the early elections and then grab all the votes from California, Florida, etc. Hopefully that won't happen.
Massachusetts votes on Tuesday, February 5th. Go get your absentee ballots or go register. You have to register by January 16th to vote in the primary. Get on that!
It looks like Mitt has NH all set, which is good news. He's also coming back in Iowa, where Huckabee was leading by over 10% a few weeks ago. Now Huck's only up a few percentage points. Mitt taking 2nd in Iowa wouldn't be all that bad. After all, I read somewhere that most candidates who win both Iowa and New Hampshire have always lost in the general election. That's the case with Kerry and Gore (well, they were losers before they lost the general election anyways). Certainly wouldn't want Mitt following that path.
I will say that Giuliani's campaign has sort of been a mystery lately. He's completely ignoring Iowa and New Hampshire, where's he's sure to lose, and probably lose big. Instead, he's focusing on the bigger delegate-rich states like NY, FL, MI, etc., hoping he can score a ton of delegate votes on "super-duper Tuesday", February 5th. That's kind of scary if it works. Some people are saying that the 23 states that vote on that day will vote based on the earlier Iowa and NH votes, so Giuliani is toast. But others say that these states will ignore the earlier contests and vote on their own beliefs, which tend to be more liberal and would benefit Giuliani. I think it would be a shame to see him lose big in all the early elections and then grab all the votes from California, Florida, etc. Hopefully that won't happen.
Massachusetts votes on Tuesday, February 5th. Go get your absentee ballots or go register. You have to register by January 16th to vote in the primary. Get on that!
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